Politics 22nd November 2025· Kenya (Multiple Counties)
Poll on Upcoming By-Elections – Second Series
A second-series polling report assessing candidate preferences in upcoming by-elections across selected constituencies and counties in Kenya.
Summary
This poll evaluates voter preferences, demographics, and leading candidates across Kasipul, Magarini, Malava, Mbeere North, Ugunja, and Baringo Senate by-elections. Data was collected via CATI interviews between Nov 15–20, 2025, with a strong 96.4% response rate. Results highlight dominant candidates as well as undecided voter segments.
Research methodology
sample Size
Varied per constituency (see below)
period
Nov 15–20, 2025
method
Computer-Assisted Telephone Interviews (CATI)
Key findings
Most constituencies have clear front-runners.
Undecided voter share is low across most areas.
Survey success rate remained high at 96.4%.
Margin of error recorded at ±1.23%.
Key observations
Rural respondents formed 70% of total sample.
Youth (18–35) accounted for 30% of respondents.
Education levels skewed towards secondary and tertiary.
Gender participation leaned female at 55%.
Poll on Upcoming By-Elections – Second Series | Timely Kenya
